Yahoo Finance | 2026-04-22 | Quality Score: 94/100
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The recent first-quarter 2026 earnings beat from aerospace and defense (A&D) peer RTX Corporation has reinforced positive sentiment across the sector, creating a supportive pre-earnings backdrop for L3Harris Technologies (LHX), which is scheduled to release its Q1 2026 results before market open on
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On April 21, 2026, RTX Corporation reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.78, a 17% beat over the Zacks consensus estimate of $1.52, and a 21.1% improvement from the year-ago quarter’s EPS of $1.47. Quarterly revenue came in at $22.08 billion, up 8.7% YoY and 2.43% above consensus estimates, supported by broad-based organic growth and a record total backlog of $271 billion, split between $162 billion in commercial program backlog and $109 billion in defense program backlog. RTX also raised its full
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Key Highlights
Multiple sector and company-specific factors support a bullish outlook for LHX’s upcoming Q1 results. First, RTX’s reported 1.48 rolling 12-month book-to-bill ratio for its Raytheon defense segment confirms durable, above-capacity demand across core defense end markets, a key revenue driver for LHX which generates over 70% of its annual sales from U.S. and allied defense contracts. Second, consensus estimates for LHX’s Q1 performance point to top-line growth of 5.7% YoY, while its 17.17% 3-5 yea
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Expert Insights
From a sector analysis perspective, RTX’s better-than-expected Q1 print removes a key downside risk that had been priced into A&D stocks in early 2026, as investors had feared lingering supply chain constraints would delay production ramps and weigh on margin recovery. The broad-based strength across RTX’s commercial aerospace and defense segments indicates that demand is holding up far better than conservative consensus estimates had projected, a dynamic we expect LHX to reflect in its upcoming results. LHX’s above-peer long-term growth trajectory is not fully priced into current valuations, in our view. The U.S. Department of Defense’s 2026 budget request includes a 12% year-over-year increase in electronic warfare funding and a 15% increase in space system funding, two core verticals where LHX holds leading market share of over 30% in key product lines. We expect LHX to report a first-quarter book-to-bill ratio of at least 1.2, with total backlog approaching $30 billion by the end of Q1, supported by new contract awards for integrated air and missile defense systems and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance technology. We also note that LHX’s strong balance sheet and free cash flow profile give it significant flexibility to drive shareholder value: the firm has reduced net debt by 12% over the past 12 months, and its 90%+ free cash flow conversion rate is among the highest in the A&D sector, supporting both quarterly dividend growth and strategic tuck-in acquisitions of niche technology providers to expand its product portfolio. While LHX currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), we see material upside risk to consensus Q1 and full-year 2026 EPS estimates, driven by faster-than-expected margin expansion and higher order intake from international allied customers. Key metrics to watch in LHX’s upcoming earnings release include year-over-year operating margin expansion in its defense segments, sequential backlog growth, and any upward revision to full-year 2026 guidance. The primary risks to our bullish outlook include delayed congressional appropriations for U.S. defense spending and lingering supply chain constraints for specialized semiconductors used in LHX’s high-tech defense systems, though RTX’s Q1 results suggest these headwinds are fading faster than previously anticipated. (Word count: 1187)
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